{"id":1030,"date":"2019-12-22T04:52:28","date_gmt":"2019-12-21T17:52:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/?p=1030"},"modified":"2019-12-22T04:52:57","modified_gmt":"2019-12-21T17:52:57","slug":"mongolia-on-the-verge-of-ecological-collapse-warming-twice-as-fast-as-global-average-part-25-in-everywhere-is-warming-twice-as-fast-as-everywhere-else","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/?p=1030","title":{"rendered":"Mongolia on the Verge of Ecological Collapse: Warming Twice as Fast as Global Average.  Part 25 in everywhere is warming twice as fast as everywhere else."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.treehugger.com\/clean-technology\/mongolia-on-the-verge-of-ecological-collapse-warming-twice-as-fast-as-global-average.html\">https:\/\/www.treehugger.com\/clean-technology\/mongolia-on-the-verge-of-ecological-collapse-warming-twice-as-fast-as-global-average.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>It is a testament to the disproportionate impact of global warming on certain ecosystems to see just how far Mongolia has managed to slide towards ecological collapse. John Bohannon&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/cgi\/content\/full\/319\/5863\/567\">sobering account<\/a> (sub. required) of the Lake Hovsgol project, which appears in the latest edition of the journal <em>Science<\/em>, offers little hope that Mongolia will be able to avoid a climate-induced catastrophe.<\/p>\n<p>Clyde Goulden, a researcher from Philadelphia&#8217;s Academy of Natural Sciences who is studying the ecology of Lake Hovsgol, notes that higher temperatures have already begun thawing the permafrost and disturbing the soil structure around the region&#8217;s fragile trees. Mongolia has been hit especially hard by global warming, with temperatures rising, on average, twice as fast as the global average &#8211; winter temperatures have jumped 3.6\u00b0C over the last 60 years.<\/p>\n<p>As he explained to Bohannon: &#8220;The grasslands are on the verge of ecological collapse. The environmental problems are closing in on two fronts at once.&#8221; Dubbed the &#8220;blue pearl&#8221; for its pristine state, Lake Hovsgol, besieged on two fronts by harmful land-use patterns and the effects of global warming, risks tipping into an &#8220;alternative stable state&#8221;:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This transformation could be a one-way ticket. A long-standing question in ecology is whether<\/p>\n<p>communities of species can be tipped into &#8220;alternative stable states.&#8221; The steppe grasslands, for example, have proved for millennia to be a robust solution to life in cold, dry Mongolia. But once widespread conversion to semidesert occurs, it might be virtually impossible to reverse, says Goulden. In the taiga, even a temporary loss of permafrost, combined with extreme drought and fires, might be a point of no return, he says. The theory of alternative stable states is a mainstay of modern ecology, says ecologist Peter Petraitis of the University of Pennsylvania. But despite decades of experiments, &#8220;it remains just that&#8211;a theory.&#8221; What is needed is the intense study of a real-world system, he says.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Mongolia, unfortunately, might just provide that &#8220;real-world system&#8221;; the receding permafrost has left large areas of ground uncovered, accelerating soil warming and chipping away at the taiga forest. Spurred on by the region&#8217;s wildfires, which have been steadily increasing over the last few years, and droughts, the region&#8217;s remaining swaths of forest and grasslands risk being lost in a single summer &#8211; leaving behind a spare, &#8220;semidesertic&#8221; ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>Supported by a new NSF grant, Goulden and his colleagues in Mongolia will spend the next few years mapping Lake Hovsgol&#8217;s permafrost, stream hydrology and plant species distribution; they also hope to construct more rigorous ecological models of global warming &#8211; using data from experiments examining the effects of temperature and plant cover on soil moisture and respiration.<\/p>\n<p>Climate change worse everywhere than everywhere else<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>https:\/\/www.treehugger.com\/clean-technology\/mongolia-on-the-verge-of-ecological-collapse-warming-twice-as-fast-as-global-average.html It is a testament to the disproportionate impact of global warming on certain ecosystems to see just how far [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[127,27,955,954,836,856,953,62],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1030"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1030"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1030\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1032,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1030\/revisions\/1032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.realclimaterecords.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}